Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 029 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8143 (S36W17), CURRENTLY
A 10-SPOT 'FSO' BETA-GAMMA GROUP, GENERATED A SINGLE C1/SF EVENT AT
29/0150Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW,
WITH ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY PROBABLE FROM REGION 8143.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED, WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE
CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. A DECREASE TO MOSTLY QUIET
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE REPORTING PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 JAN a 01 FEB
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 JAN 094 Previsto 30 JAN-01 FEB 094/093/091 Media de 90 Días 29 JAN 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 JAN 002/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JAN 009/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JAN-01 FEB 015/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 JAN a 01 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 03% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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