Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 febrero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Feb 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 044 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 FEB 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY INFREQUENT B-CLASS
X-RAY FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 8156 (S25E30) CONTINUED TO GROW AND IS
NOW AN E-TYPE SUNPOT GROUP.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE IN REGION 8156.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 FEB a 16 FEB
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 FEB 095 Previsto 14 FEB-16 FEB 096/098/098 Media de 90 Días 13 FEB 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 FEB 008/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 FEB 006/006 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 FEB-16 FEB 010/007-010/007-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 FEB a 16 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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