Viendo archivo del domingo, 15 febrero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Feb 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 046 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 FEB 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8156 (S25E04) GENERATED
SEVERAL SMALL FLARES. ONE OF THE MORE INTERESTING WAS A C1/SF AT
15/0424Z WHICH WAS ACCOMPANIED BY A 2695 MHZ RADIO BURST OF 190 SFU.
THIS REGION HAS GROWN A LITTLE SINCE YESTERDAY BUT APPEARS TO BE
MATURING. NEW REGION 8160 (N23E36) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ADDITIONAL C-CLASS FLARES ARE PROBABLE IN REGION 8156. LOW-LEVEL
M-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 FEB a 18 FEB
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 FEB 107 Previsto 16 FEB-18 FEB 110/110/105 Media de 90 Días 15 FEB 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 FEB 004/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 FEB 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 FEB-18 FEB 005/012-005/005-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 FEB a 18 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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