Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 marzo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Mar 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 072 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 MAR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. X-RAYS PASSED THE C-LEVEL VERY
LATE IN THE PERIOD, REACHING THE C5 LEVEL AT 2108Z. AT THIS WRITING
NO OPTICAL REPORT HAS BEEN RECEIVED. NEW SPOTS EMERGED IN PREVIOUSLY
SPOTLESS REGION 8173 (S19W83). THIS WAS THE SITE OF A SUBFLARE AND
OCCASIONAL SURGING. THE OTHER 6 SPOTTED REGIONS VISIBLE WERE
SIMPLIFYING, IN GENERAL. REGION 8176 (S40W07) LOST SPOTS BUT GAINED
AREA AS DEVELOPMENT OCCURRED IN THE TRAILER.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. SHORT-LIVED SUBSTORMS
OCCURRED DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT REMAINED HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. BRIEF SUBSTORMS MAY PERSIST
DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES FOR THE NEXT DAY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 MAR a 16 MAR
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 MAR 105 Previsto 14 MAR-16 MAR 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 13 MAR 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 MAR 008/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 MAR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 MAR-16 MAR 005/008-005/005-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 MAR a 16 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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