Viendo archivo del jueves, 26 marzo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Mar 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 085 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 MAR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8185 (S25E12)
PRODUCED A LONG DURATION M1/2B AT 26/1259Z. REGION 8185 IS THE
LARGEST REGION ON THE DISK AND IS CURRENTLY A FHC GROUP.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LOW TO
MODERATE. REGION 8185 REMAINS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED M-CLASS
EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED FROM 25/2100Z TO
26/1200Z. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED THE REMAINDER
OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 MAR a 29 MAR
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 MAR 110 Previsto 27 MAR-29 MAR 111/111/110 Media de 90 Días 26 MAR 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 MAR 009/016 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 MAR 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 MAR-29 MAR 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 MAR a 29 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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