Viendo archivo del jueves, 14 mayo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 May 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 134 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 MAY 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8220 (S27E34) PRODUCED
THE LARGEST FLARE OF THE PAST DAY, A C2/SF AT 14/1350Z. THIS REGION
HAS DECAYED SOMEWHAT SINCE YESTERDAY. REGION 8218 (S21W31) ALSO
PRODUCED C-CLASS ACTIVITY: A C1/SF AT 13/2225Z AND A C1/SF AT
14/1033Z. THIS REGION HAS ALSO DECAYED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
C-CLASS FLARES ARE LIKELY IN REGIONS 8218, 8220, AND 8222.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 MAY a 17 MAY
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 MAY 117 Previsto 15 MAY-17 MAY 115/115/110 Media de 90 Días 14 MAY 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 MAY 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 MAY 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 MAY-17 MAY 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 MAY a 17 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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