Viendo archivo del jueves, 11 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 162 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW TO MODERATE. A LONG DURATION C1
X-RAY EVENT OCCURRED AT 11/0014UT AND A LONG DURATION M1 X-RAY EVENT
OCCURRED AT 11/1027UT. BOTH ARE BELIEVED TO HAVE ORIGINATED FROM THE
NE LIMB IN CONJUNCTION WITH X-RAY LOOPS VISIBLE IN THE LASCO/EIT
IMAGES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE WITH A POSSIBLE INCREASE IN ACTIVITY ON 12 JUN WHEN OLD
REGION 8226 (N18 L-210) IS DUE TO RETURN. THAT REGION COULD POSSIBLY
BE THE SOURCE OF THE X-RAY LOOPS ON THE NE LIMB.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE, WITH ONLY ONE ACTIVE PERIOD
(K=4) OCCURRING 10/2100-2400UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 JUN a 14 JUN
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 JUN 112 Previsto 12 JUN-14 JUN 115/120/122 Media de 90 Días 11 JUN 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 JUN 016/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 JUN 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 JUN-14 JUN 010/010-010/008-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 JUN a 14 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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