Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 septiembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 250 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 SEP 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGIONS 8323 (S22W50) AND 8326
(N22E25) CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL FLARES. BOTH REGIONS REMAIN IN
ABOUT THE SAME CONDITION AS YESTERDAY. REGION 8328 (S17E33) ALSO
GENERATED A FEW SUBFLARES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGIONS 8323 AND 8326 ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY
FLARE PRODUCERS. REGION 8323 IS THE MOST LIKELY CANDIDATE FOR
ENERGETIC FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 SEP a 10 SEP
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 SEP 151 Previsto 08 SEP-10 SEP 150/150/145 Media de 90 Días 07 SEP 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 SEP 005/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 SEP 003/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 SEP-10 SEP 005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 SEP a 10 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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