Viendo archivo del jueves, 10 septiembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 253 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 SEP 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW, BASED ON TWO SMALL UNCORRELATED
C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS. IN ADDITION, MINOR SUBFLARES WERE REPORTED
FROM REGIONS 8328 (S17W08), 8329 (N14W18), AND 8333 (N12W41). WITH
TODAYS DEPARTURE OF REGION 8323 (S27W84) AROUND THE WEST LIMB,
REGIONS 8329, 11-SPOT 'ESO' BETA, AND 8331 (N26E24), 15-SPOT 'DAO'
BETA, ARE THE MOST COMPLEX OF THE SEVEN ACTIVE REGIONS CURRENTLY ON
THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW,
WITH C-CLASS EVENTS POSSIBLE FROM ANY ONE OF REGIONS 8328, 8329,
8331, AND 8333.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET, WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 SEP a 13 SEP
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 SEP 142 Previsto 11 SEP-13 SEP 140/135/130 Media de 90 Días 10 SEP 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 SEP 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 SEP 005/009 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 SEP-13 SEP 005/009-010/009-010/009
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 SEP a 13 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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