Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 septiembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 262 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 SEP 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGIONS 8336 (S30E11),
8339 (S17E16), AND 8343 (N42E65) ALL PRODUCED SUBFLARES WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT X-RAY ACTIVITY. FREQUENT TYPE III AND V SWEEPS OCCURRED
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. REGION 8340 (N19E50) REMAINS THE MOST
IMPRESSIVE REGION, COVERING 470 MILLIONTHS OF WHITE LIGHT AREA, BUT
HAS YET TO PRODUCE ANY SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY. NEW REGIONS 8341
(N19W58), 8342 (N17E38), AND 8343 WERE ALL NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE FROM REGION 8340.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE. OCCASIONAL ACTIVE PERIODS ARE
EXPECTED AS A LARGE EXTENSION OF THE NORTHERN CORONAL HOLE MOVES
INTO A FAVORABLE GEOEFFECTIVE POSITION.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 SEP a 22 SEP
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 SEP 127 Previsto 20 SEP-22 SEP 130/130/135 Media de 90 Días 19 SEP 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 SEP 014/020 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 SEP 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 SEP-22 SEP 015/020-015/025-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 SEP a 22 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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