Viendo archivo del sábado, 7 noviembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 311 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 NOV 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED
M2 X-RAY FLARE OCCURRED AT 07/1106UT. A NEW SUNSPOT GROUP WAS
NUMBERED AS REGION 8382 (N18W32) TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM. THE CME REPORTED ON
04/0418UT IMPACTED THE MAGNETOSPHERE AND CAUSED ACTIVE AND MINOR
STORM CONDITIONS TODAY. THE LEVEL OF GT 10 MEV PROTONS WAS
ELEVATED, BUT DID NOT CROSS THE GT 10 PFU THRESHOLD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO MINOR STORM DURING THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 NOV a 10 NOV
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Protón | 50% | 25% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 NOV 149 Previsto 08 NOV-10 NOV 145/145/145 Media de 90 Días 07 NOV 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 NOV 017/022 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 NOV 018/025 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 NOV-10 NOV 040/035-025/025-025/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 NOV a 10 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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