Viendo archivo del miércoles, 2 diciembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Dec 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 336 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 DEC 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A FEW C-CLASS SUBFLARES
OCCURRED IN REGIONS 8395 (N20W17) AND 8402 (N18E53). REGION 8395
CONTINUES TO DECAY SLOWLY. REGIONS 8393 (S16W45), 8398 (N18W28),
8399 (N26W04), AND 8400 (S18W21) HAVE ALSO DECAYED. OTHER REGIONS
HAVE CHANGED LITTLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS 8395, 8397, AND
8402. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THESE
REGIONS, THE CHANCE OF MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITY IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 DEC a 05 DEC
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 DEC 152 Previsto 03 DEC-05 DEC 150/148/146 Media de 90 Días 02 DEC 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 DEC 010/013 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 DEC 005/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 DEC-05 DEC 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 DEC a 05 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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