Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 diciembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Dec 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 358 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 DEC 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. TWO C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD. THE FIRST WAS AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED
C5 AT 24/0054Z AND THE SECOND WAS A C6/SF AT 24/0127Z FROM REGION
8416 (N20E20). REGION 8421 (N27E64) PRODUCED A M1/SF AT 24/1145Z. A
NEW REGION WAS NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8422 (S23E75).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. OCCASIONAL M-CLASS EVENTS ARE
POSSIBLE FROM SEVERAL REGIONS ON THE DISK.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 DEC a 27 DEC
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 DEC 139 Previsto 25 DEC-27 DEC 145/150/154 Media de 90 Días 24 DEC 133
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 DEC 003/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 DEC 005/009 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 DEC-27 DEC 005/009-005/009-005/009
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 DEC a 27 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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