Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 enero 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jan 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 008 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 JAN 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8431 (S28E19) PRODUCED
THE LARGEST FLARE OF THE PAST DAY, A LONG-DURATION C3/SF PEAKING AT
08/1022UT. THIS REGION IS A SMALL, RELATIVELY SIMPLE BIPOLAR SUNSPOT
GROUP. THE LARGEST GROUP ON THE VISIBLE DISK IS 8426 (N14W50) AND IS
SLOWLY DECAYING AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE FROM A NUMBER OF SMALL ACTIVE REGIONS
INCLUDING 8426 (N14W50), 8431 (S28E19), 8433 (S28W04), AND 8434
(S27E35).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. ACTIVE CONDITIONS
WERE EXPERIENCED AT MANY STATIONS DURING THE 08/0900-1200UT PERIOD.
THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
ACTIVE PERIODS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 JAN a 11 JAN
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 JAN 116 Previsto 09 JAN-11 JAN 115/115/120 Media de 90 Días 08 JAN 138
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JAN 006/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JAN 013/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JAN-11 JAN 010/015-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 JAN a 11 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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