Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 febrero 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Feb 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 056 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 FEB 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8470 (S23E31) PRODUCED
A C1/SF EVENT AT 25/1800Z. A COUPLE OTHER MINOR C-CLASS X-RAY
EVENTS OCCURRED EARLIER DURING THE PERIOD WITH NO OPTICAL
CORRELATION. SUBFLARING WAS OBSERVED FROM REGIONS 8471 (N30E25) AND
8472 (N30E48). REGIONS 8471 AND 8472 SHOWED SLIGHT GROWTH. NO NEW
REGIONS WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ONE ISOLATED
PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS FROM 25/0300 TO 0600Z. THE GREATER THAN
2 MEV ELECTRONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT ROSE SLOWLY AND ENTERED
MODERATE LEVELS AROUND 25/1400Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 FEB a 28 FEB
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 FEB 120 Previsto 26 FEB-28 FEB 120/118/115 Media de 90 Días 25 FEB 146
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 FEB 006/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 FEB 009/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 FEB-28 FEB 008/008-008/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 FEB a 28 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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