Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 mayo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 133 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 MAY 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. REGION 8543 (N06E45)
WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS. SOLAR
WIND DATA FROM THE ACE SPACECRAFT HAS NOT SHOWN A CONCLUSIVE CME
SIGNATURE, LIKELY CAUSE OF THE DISTURBANCE IS THE INFLUENCE OF A
RECURRENT CORONAL HOLE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 MAY a 16 MAY
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 MAY 147 Previsto 14 MAY-16 MAY 140/135/130 Media de 90 Días 13 MAY 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 MAY 008/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 MAY 025/025 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 MAY-16 MAY 015/012-010/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 MAY a 16 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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