Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 junio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jun 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 163 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 JUN 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION 8583
(S13E56) PRODUCED AN M1/1N FLARE AT 1336Z. THIS EVENT INCLUDED A
WEAK TYPE II SWEEP, AND SMALL RADIO BURSTS AT VARIOUS DISCRETE
FREQUENCIES. A PROMINENCE POSITIONED NEAR S23E90 ERUPTED SOON AFTER
THE X-RAY EVENT. THERE ARE TWELVE SPOTTED REGIONS VISIBLE, AND
BRIGHT PLAGE IS APPARENT IN REGIONS 8583, 8569 (N20W32), AND 8574
(N30W50). NEWLY NUMBERED REGION 8585 (N38E77) IS PERCHED OMINOUSLY
NEAR EAST LIMB. FIRST LOOKS SHOW IT TO BE LARGE AND INTERESTING.
REGION 8584 (N25W22) WAS BORN ON THE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE. REGIONS 8583, 8585, 8569, AND 8574 ALL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GENERATE M-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 JUN a 15 JUN
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 JUN 168 Previsto 13 JUN-15 JUN 170/175/175 Media de 90 Días 12 JUN 135
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 JUN 003/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 JUN 005/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 JUN-15 JUN 010/010-010/012-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 JUN a 15 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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