Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 junio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jun 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 172 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 JUN 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE PERIOD WAS CHARACTERIZED BY
A NUMBER OF SMALL C-CLASS X-RAY FLARES, THE LARGEST BEING A C3/SF
FROM REGION 8585 (N38W31). OTHER FLARING REGIONS INCLUDE 8594
(N14E67) AND 8583 (S11W64). AS REGION 8592 (N22E45) CONTINUED TO
ROTATE ONTO THE DISK, OBSERVERS WERE BETTER ABLE TO DISTINGUISH
SEPARATE MAGNETIC GROUPS; THEY WERE NUMBERED AS REGIONS 8596
(N23E53), 8597 (N22E63), AND 8598 (N26E69). ALSO NUMBERED TODAY
WERE REGIONS 8595 (N26E18) AND 8599 (S16E77).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AT
LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE PERIOD. BY
DAY THREE A RECURRENT SOUTHERN CORONAL HOLE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE
THE FIELD TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 JUN a 24 JUN
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 JUN 146 Previsto 22 JUN-24 JUN 150/155/160 Media de 90 Días 21 JUN 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 JUN 002/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 JUN 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 JUN-24 JUN 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 JUN a 24 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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