Viendo archivo del martes, 29 junio 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jun 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 180 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 JUN 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY INCREASED TO MODERATE LEVELS. REGION 8602 (N18W07) SHOWED MINOR GROWTH AND PRODUCED AN IMPULSIVE M1/SF FLARE AT 29/0510Z WITH AN ASSOCIATED TYPE II RADIO SWEEP AND MINOR DISCRETE RADIO BURSTS. REGION 8611 (S25E33) CONTINUED A PERIOD OF GRADUAL GROWTH THAT BEGAN WITH ITS EMERGENCE ON 27 JUNE. IT PRODUCED AN IMPULSIVE M3/1N PARALLEL-RIBBON FLARE AT 29/0821Z ACCOMPANIED BY MODERATE DISCRETE RADIO BURSTS. REGION 8603 (S15E04) PRODUCED THE PERIOD'S LAST M-CLASS FLARE, AN M1/1N AT 29/1913Z WITH MODERATE DISCRETE RADIO BURSTS. REGION 8598 (N23W38) SHOWED SLOW DECAY, BUT RETAINED MODERATE MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. NO NEW REGIONS WERE ASSIGNED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE. ISOLATED, LOW-LEVEL M-CLASS FLARES ARE LIKELY. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A MAJOR FLARE SOMETIME DURING THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ACTIVITY DECLINED TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS WITH A CHANCE FOR ACTIVE LEVELS AT HIGH LATITUDES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 JUN a 02 JUL
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 JUN 191
  Previsto   30 JUN-02 JUL  185/185/180
  Media de 90 Días        29 JUN 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 JUN  022/026
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JUN  010/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JUN-02 JUL  010/012-012/018-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 JUN a 02 JUL
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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