Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 julio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jul 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 189 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 JUL 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. C-CLASS ACTIVITY CONTINUES BUT
LESS FREQUENTLY THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE LARGEST FLARE WAS AN
OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C5 AT 08/0708UT. REGION 8611 (S26W84) APPEARS
TO BE LEAVING THE VISIBLE DISK QUIETLY. GROWTH IN REGION 8626
(S21W30) HAS SLOWED. NEW REGION 8627 (S12E70) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE IN DEPARTING REGION 8611 OR
REGION 8626.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 JUL a 11 JUL
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 JUL 149 Previsto 09 JUL-11 JUL 140/140/135 Media de 90 Días 08 JUL 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUL 003/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUL 008/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUL-11 JUL 010/007-015/007-010/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 JUL a 11 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 02% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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