Viendo archivo del miércoles, 14 julio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jul 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 195 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 JUL 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW, NO C-CLASS EVENTS
WERE OBSERVED SINCE THE C2.9 AT 0522UT ON THE 13TH. ALL REGIONS
APPEAR STABLE OR DECLINING AND THE SOLAR LIMBS HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY
QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO VERY LOW. ACTIVITY MAY START TO INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS
FORMER ACTIVE LONGITUDES RETURN TO THE EAST LIMB.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET EARLY IN THE PERIOD AND BECOMING SLIGHTLY
ACTIVE LATE IN THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 JUL a 17 JUL
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 JUL 130 Previsto 15 JUL-17 JUL 130/125/120 Media de 90 Días 14 JUL 152
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JUL 003/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUL 003/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUL-17 JUL 005/005-007/007-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 JUL a 17 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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