Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 septiembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Sep 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 253 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 SEP 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY DECREASED TO VERY LOW LEVELS. REGION
8692 (S27E36) SHOWED A SMALL INCREASE IN SPOT NUMBER AND RETAINED A
MIXED-POLARITY (BETA-GAMMA) STRUCTURE. IT PRODUCED ISOLATED B-CLASS
SUBFLARES DURING THE PERIOD. MINOR PENUMBRAL DEVELOPMENT OCCURRED
WITHIN REGION 8690 (N13E20). THE REMAINING REGIONS WERE SMALL AND
STABLE, INCLUDING NEWLY NUMBERED REGION 8695 (N19E73).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGIONS 8690 AND 8692 MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS DURING MOST OF
THE DAY WITH BRIEF ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM PERIODS DETECTED AT HIGH
LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS DUE TO RECURRENT
CORONAL HOLE EFFECTS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 SEP a 13 SEP
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 SEP 122 Previsto 11 SEP-13 SEP 120/120/125 Media de 90 Días 10 SEP 165
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 SEP 007/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 SEP 012/017 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 SEP-13 SEP 015/015-015/010-015/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 SEP a 13 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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