Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 noviembre 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Nov 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 333 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 NOV 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. AN M1/SF FLARE OCCURRED IN REGION 8773 (S11W85) AT 29/1414UT. THIS IS A SMALL SUNSPOT GROUP JUST TO THE EAST OF MAJOR FLARE PRODUCER 8771 (S15, LO=167) WHICH HAS ROTATED BEYOND THE WEST SOLAR LIMB. A NUMBER OF SMALLER FLARES OCCURRED FROM A VARIETY OF REGIONS, INCLUDING A C6/SF AT 29/0438UT IN DECAYING REGION 8778 (S14W47). REGIONS 8781 (S13E09) AND 8782 (N10W27) ARE GROWING AND ALSO PRODUCED SUBFLARE ACTIVITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS 8773, 8778, 8781, AND 8782. M-CLASS ACTIVITY IS LESS LIKELY BUT ALSO POSSIBLE FROM 8773 OR 8778.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 NOV a 02 DEC
Clase M50%40%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 NOV 164
  Previsto   30 NOV-02 DEC  160/150/145
  Media de 90 Días        29 NOV 164
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 NOV  007/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 NOV  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 NOV-02 DEC  005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 NOV a 02 DEC
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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