Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 noviembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Nov 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 333 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 NOV 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. AN M1/SF FLARE OCCURRED IN
REGION 8773 (S11W85) AT 29/1414UT. THIS IS A SMALL SUNSPOT GROUP
JUST TO THE EAST OF MAJOR FLARE PRODUCER 8771 (S15, LO=167) WHICH
HAS ROTATED BEYOND THE WEST SOLAR LIMB. A NUMBER OF SMALLER FLARES
OCCURRED FROM A VARIETY OF REGIONS, INCLUDING A C6/SF AT 29/0438UT
IN DECAYING REGION 8778 (S14W47). REGIONS 8781 (S13E09) AND 8782
(N10W27) ARE GROWING AND ALSO PRODUCED SUBFLARE ACTIVITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS 8773, 8778,
8781, AND 8782. M-CLASS ACTIVITY IS LESS LIKELY BUT ALSO POSSIBLE
FROM 8773 OR 8778.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 NOV a 02 DEC
| Clase M | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 NOV 164 Previsto 30 NOV-02 DEC 160/150/145 Media de 90 Días 29 NOV 164
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 NOV 007/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 NOV 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 NOV-02 DEC 005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 NOV a 02 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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