Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 diciembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Dec 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 DEC 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE DUE TO A SINGLE ISOLATED
M1/SN EVENT FROM REGION 8791 (S14E53) AT 07/2120UT. ONLY INFREQUENT
SMALL C-CLASS FLARES OCCURRED DURING THE REST OF THE DAY. NEW REGION
8792 (N17E69) WAS NUMBERED DURING THIS PERIOD.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS. EIT IMAGES FROM
THE SOHO SPACECRAFT SHOW LARGE AREAS OF ACTIVITY OVER THE EASTERN
LIMB. AS THESE ACTIVE REGIONS BEGIN TO ROTATE ONTO THE DISK LOOK FOR
ACTIVITY TO INCREASE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH A SINGLE PERIOD
(08/06-09UT) OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER
THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE AT HIGH LEVELS FOR
THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH THE CHANCE OF ISOLATED ACTIVE
CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER LATITUDES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 DEC a 11 DEC
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 DEC 150 Previsto 09 DEC-11 DEC 165/180/190 Media de 90 Días 08 DEC 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 DEC 008/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 DEC 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 DEC-11 DEC 015/018-012/015-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 DEC a 11 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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