Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 enero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 009 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 JAN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY ISOLATED SMALL C-CLASS
EVENTS OCCURRED. NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION 8824 (S13E75) HAS BEEN ONE OF
THE FEW BRIGHT SPOTS ON AN OTHERWISE DULL DISK. MINOR SURGING
PERSISTS NEAR SE15.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED. ACTIVE CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR ON
11 JANUARY WHEN A HIGH-SPEED STREAM IS DUE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 JAN a 12 JAN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 JAN 161 Previsto 10 JAN-12 JAN 165/170/175 Media de 90 Días 09 JAN 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JAN 003/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JAN 003/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JAN-12 JAN 010/012-015/020-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 JAN a 12 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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