Viendo archivo del miércoles, 26 enero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 026 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 JAN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THREE LOW-LEVEL C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD. ONE WAS A LONG DURATION C1 AT 26/1157Z
THAT WAS NOT OPTICALLY CORRELATED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS DURING THE LAST
24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THE FIRST DAY OF THE
FORECAST. ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD AS A RESULT OF A DISTURBANCE FROM A RECURRENT CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 JAN a 29 JAN
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 JAN 141 Previsto 27 JAN-29 JAN 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 26 JAN 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 JAN 004/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 JAN 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 JAN-29 JAN 015/018-020/025-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 JAN a 29 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
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