Viendo archivo del viernes, 4 febrero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 035 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 FEB 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. AN M3/SF OCCURRED AT
04/0919Z IN REGION 8858 (N26E64). FREQUENT C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH THE MAJORITY ORIGINATING IN REGION 8858.
AN IMPRESSIVE C7/1F FLARE AND ASSOCIATED CORONAL MASS EJECTION WERE
ALSO OBSERVED FROM THIS REGION AT 04/1950Z. NEW REGION 8860 (N26E06)
WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
AT LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS. REGION 8858 WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
PRODUCING C-CLASS ACTIVITY WITH ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS POSSIBLE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO UNSETTLED THROUGH DAY ONE. OCCASIONAL ACTIVE
PERIODS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH DAYS TWO AND THREE DUE TO A FAVORABLY
POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 FEB a 07 FEB
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 FEB 167 Previsto 05 FEB-07 FEB 170/175/180 Media de 90 Días 04 FEB 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 FEB 007/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 FEB 005/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 FEB-07 FEB 007/010-012/015-012/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 FEB a 07 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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