Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 febrero 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 044 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 FEB 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8858 (N24W50), IN A STATE OF DECAY, HAD THE DAY'S SOLE C-CLASS FLARE (C1/SF) AT 0539Z. PROMINENCE ACTIVITY OCCURRED ON THE NORTHWEST LIMB NEAR WHERE REGION 8855 (N18W90) DEPARTED. NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION 8873 (S18E66) ROTATED FULLY INTO VIEW.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE RECENT STORM SUBSIDED AS THE INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD RETURNED TO MORE NORMAL CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, THE SOLAR WIND SPEED IS STILL ELEVATED, NOW AT APPROXIMATELY 575 KM/S. THE GREATER THAN 10 MEV PROTONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT HAVE RETURNED TO BACKGROUND VALUES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHORT-LIVED ACTIVE CONDITIONS TO OCCUR DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIME HOURS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 FEB a 16 FEB
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 FEB 160
  Previsto   14 FEB-16 FEB  155/150/150
  Media de 90 Días        13 FEB 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 FEB  035/052
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 FEB  013/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 FEB-16 FEB  010/015-010/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 FEB a 16 FEB
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%20%10%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo50%30%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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