Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 abril 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Apr 17 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 108 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 APR 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8955 (S22W06) PRODUCED THE TWO LARGEST EVENTS OF THE PERIOD - A C2/1F AT 17/0028UT AND A C3/1N AT 17/1734UT. THIS REGION APPEARS TO HAVE STABILIZED, EXHIBITING LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NOW COVERS 320 MILLIONTHS OF WHITE LIGHT AREA. THERE WAS LITTLE OR NO CHANGE OR ACTIVITY NOTED IN THE REMAINING ELEVEN SPOTTED REGIONS. NEW REGION 8965 (S16E66) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. REGION 8955 STILL HAS POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED SMALL M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE WITH AN ISOLATED MINOR STORMING PERIOD BETWEEN 17/06 - 09UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS THROUGH THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 APR a 20 APR
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 APR 158
  Previsto   18 APR-20 APR  160/165/165
  Media de 90 Días        17 APR 183
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 APR  016/023
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 APR  012/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 APR-20 APR  012/015-012/012-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 APR a 20 APR
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%30%25%
Tormenta Menor15%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo45%40%30%
Tormenta Menor25%25%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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