Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 mayo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 May 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 150 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 MAY 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY A FEW FLARES OCCURRED
AND ALL WERE BELOW C-LEVEL. REGION 9017 (S13E16) REMAINS THE MOST
COMPLEX SUNSPOT GROUP ON THE VISIBLE DISK. REGIONS 9023 (S03W12) AND
9024 (S14E55) WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGION 9017 IS THE MOST LIKELY SOURCE OF FLARE
ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS
MODERATE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE DUE TO CORONAL HOLE RELATED
ACTIVITY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 MAY a 01 JUN
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 MAY 149 Previsto 30 MAY-01 JUN 145/145/145 Media de 90 Días 29 MAY 193
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 MAY 010/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 MAY 015/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 MAY-01 JUN 020/018-015/015-015/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 MAY a 01 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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