Viendo archivo del viernes, 2 junio 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jun 02 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 JUN 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS HIGH. REGION 9026 (N20E61) PRODUCED AN M7/2B FLARE AT 1938Z. EARLIER, IT HAD AN M1/1F AT 0414Z, AND AN M4/1N AT 0659Z. IN ADDITION, IT GENERATED OCCASIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS. THE REGION CONSISTS OF A SUBSTANTIAL FIELD OF BRIGHT PLAGE, LARGE SPOTS, AND A MODERATE DEGREE OF MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. MIXED POLARITIES MAY BE PRESENT IN THE LEADER PENUMBRA. ELSEWHERE, NEW REGION 9028 (N08E12) EMERGED. THE REMAINING DISK REGIONS WERE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET AND STABLE. TODAY'S 10.7 CM SOLAR FLUX WAS FLARE ENHANCED AND ESTIMATED TO BE 155.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE TO HIGH, WITH M-CLASS FLARES ORIGINATING FROM REGION 9026.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 JUN a 05 JUN
Clase M70%70%70%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 JUN 155
  Previsto   03 JUN-05 JUN  165/175/185
  Media de 90 Días        02 JUN 191
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JUN  009/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JUN  008/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JUN-05 JUN  010/008-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 JUN a 05 JUN
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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