Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 julio 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jul 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 206 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 JUL 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. A PARTIAL HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION HAS BEEN REPORTED BY SOHO LASCO IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LONGER DURATION FLARE THAT OCCURRED ON 22 JULY AT 1117Z. THE SAME EVENT ALSO PRODUCED A SMALL SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENT ON 22 JULY. LASCO ALSO REPORTED A PARTIAL HALO ON 23 JULY, POSSIBLY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A FILAMENT ERUPTION IN REGION 9097, NOW AT N07E00. REGION 9097 REMAINS THE MOST ACTIVE AND COMPLEX REGION, BUT THERE APPEARS TO BE A TREND TOWARD SIMPLIFICATION AND LOWER LEVELS OF ACTIVITY IN ALMOST ALL REGIONS. A LARGE CORONAL HOLE EXTENDS FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE AT ABOUT N30 TO N40. ANOTHER SMALLER HOLE IS VISIBLE FROM THE EQUATOR SOUTH-EASTWARD FROM NEAR REGION 9097 TO ABOUT S15 AND FROM CENTRAL MERIDIAN EASTWARD FOR ABOUT,15 DEGREES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE WITH A DECLINING CHANCE OF MORE ENERGETIC ACTIVITY. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 23/2100Z TO 24/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED. EFFECTS OF THE CME ON 22 JULY MAY MATERIALIZE DURING THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 JUL a 27 JUL
Clase M80%70%60%
Clase X25%20%20%
Protón35%35%25%
PCAFYELLOW
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 JUL 225
  Previsto   25 JUL-27 JUL  220/210/205
  Media de 90 Días        24 JUL 190
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 JUL  020/020
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 JUL  008/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 JUL-27 JUL  020/020-020/020-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 JUL a 27 JUL
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor25%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%25%
Tormenta Menor25%25%13%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa12%12%06%

All times in UTC

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