Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL LOW C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD. A FILAMENT DISAPPEARED BETWEEN
26/0101-1123Z NEAR N26W25. THE SOHO/LASCO SPACECRAFT OBSERVED A CME
STARTING AROUND 26/1754Z IN THE NE QUADRANT WHICH APPEARS TO BE
ORIGINATING FROM THE BACKSIDE OF THE SUN
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN ISOLATED CHANCE OF AN M-CLASS EVENT IS
POSSIBLE FROM REGION 9144 (N25E02) AND REGION 9143 (S19E46).
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 AUG a 29 AUG
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 AUG 137 Previsto 27 AUG-29 AUG 140/145/150 Media de 90 Días 26 AUG 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 AUG 003/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 AUG 006/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 AUG-29 AUG 008/010-008/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 AUG a 29 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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