Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 octubre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Oct 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 283 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Oct 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity remained low. Region 9182 (N02W18)
produced isolated subflares, the largest of which was a C5/1n at
09/1316 UTC. The subflares occurred near an area of emerging flux
just to the west of this region. The remaining regions were stable.
No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region
9182.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Unsettled to active periods are
possible during the first half of the period due to weak coronal
hole effects. Otherwise, quiet to unsettled conditions are expected.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Oct 141 Previsto 10 Oct-12 Oct 140/145/150 Media de 90 Días 09 Oct 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 001/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Oct 004/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct 015/015-012/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Oct a 12 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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