Viendo archivo del sábado, 14 octubre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Oct 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 288 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Oct 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9182 (N04W90)
produced an M1/Sf flare at 14/0840 UTC, as well as several C-class
subfaint flares. Region 9194 (S12E36) exhibited some increased
activity today, also producing several C-class subfaint flares.
Single flares of similar magnitude were noted from a few other
regions, including newly numbered Region 9198 (S30E65).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to become
predominantly low, with the departure of Region 9182 behind the
western limb. A chance of isolated moderate-level activity remains
for regions 9194, 9193 (N05W46), and for new regions expected
on the eastern limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field varied from unsettled to major storm levels,
due to a prolonged period of negative Bz accompanied by moderate
solar wind speed. Greatest activity occurred during 14/0900-1800
UTC, which saw two periods of storming at minor levels in middle
latitudes, and at major levels in higher latitudes. Possible sources
of this activity include extended effects of the 09 October CME
passage, which commenced yesterday, or trailing effects from a weaker
LDE C-flare that occurred about 30 hours after the CME.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to ease to unsettled levels, with isolated active periods.
The current geomagnetic disturbance is expected to end during day
one, and an onset of high speed stream effects from a coronal hole
is expected to emerge thereafter, persisting through day two and
tapering off during day three. Isolated minor storming at higher
latitudes is possible during this period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Oct 163 Previsto 15 Oct-17 Oct 175/185/195 Media de 90 Días 14 Oct 177
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 022/027 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Oct 028/040 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct 018/020-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
martes, 17 marzo 2026
M2.7 solar flare, CME arrival possible
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR4401 49Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 243Current Farside Activity 437AR4403 22Filaments and prominences 537
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 26/03/2026 | M4.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 25/03/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (4%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 80.2 +2 |
| Last 30 days | 77.8 -4.5 |