Viendo archivo del sábado, 21 octubre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Oct 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 295 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Oct 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 9201 (N16E19)
produced an M3/1N flare at 21/1831 UTC. This region also produced a
few low level C-class flares. Region 9199 (N10W17) also generated
C-class activity, the largest flare being a C5/SF at 21/0956 UTC.
Neither of these regions appear particularly large or complex.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
although another small M-class flare is possible in Region 9199 or
Region 9201.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Activity levels may
increase over the next day, including isolated active periods, due
to a recurrent coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Oct a 24 Oct
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Oct 158 Previsto 22 Oct-24 Oct 160/165/170 Media de 90 Días 21 Oct 170
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Oct 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Oct 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Oct-24 Oct 010/015-015/020-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Oct a 24 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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