Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 octubre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Oct 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 297 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Oct 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was low. Only a few small C-class
subflares occurred, mainly in Regions 9199 (N08W49) and 9201
(N17W08). New regions numbered include 9206 (N20E50), 9207 (S20E65),
and 9208 (S13E77).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with C-class activity in Regions 9199 and 9201. A small M-flare in
one of these regions is possible but is becoming less likely.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels in response
to a high-speed coronal hole stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Oct a 26 Oct
| Clase M | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Oct 167 Previsto 24 Oct-26 Oct 170/170/175 Media de 90 Días 23 Oct 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Oct 007/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Oct 015/016 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Oct-26 Oct 010/012-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Oct a 26 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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