Viendo archivo del lunes, 30 octubre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Oct 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Oct 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event during the
period was a C4/1F from Region 9209 (S23E07) at 30/1350Z. Moderate
growth was observed in Region 9212 (N07E46) since yesterday. No new
regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9209 and 9212 each have the capability to
produce an isoloated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm. One period
of minor storm conditions was observed from 30/0000 - 30/0300Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to mostly quiet to unsettled during the period. There is a
chance of active to isolated minor storm conditions during the first
day if an interplanetary shock arrives at the earth from the M4/2B
event early back on 29 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Oct 194 Previsto 31 Oct-02 Nov 198/205/205 Media de 90 Días 30 Oct 170
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 024/026 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Oct-02 Nov 015/020-012/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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