Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was low. Several minor C-class X-ray
flares were observed, mostly from Region 9246 as it rotates around
the west limb near S11. Very little change was noted on the existing
six spotted regions. New region 9262 (N13E70) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels. Most activity will likely originate from Region 9246
as it rotates out of view on the SW limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The field began the period
at mostly quiet to unsettled levels, but predominantly unsettled to
active conditions began at 07/2300Z following the onset of a high
speed coronal hole stream. Current solar wind speed from this large
transequatorial coronal hole is now near 650 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at mostly unsettled to active conditions
through day one in response to the high speed coronal hole stream.
Minor storming is likely at high latitudes. This disturbance should
subside through day two. Expect quiet to unsettled conditions
thereafter.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Dec 138 Previsto 09 Dec-11 Dec 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 08 Dec 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 008/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 017/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Dec-11 Dec 020/025-010/015-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Dec a 11 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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