Viendo archivo del domingo, 31 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 366 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was low. Isolated low C-class flares
were observed. Region 9289 (S07E16) retains large white light area
coverage and some mixture of magnetic polarities, but was generally
stable. Brightness fluctuations and subflare rates have decreased.
Remaining regions were stable or in decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Though relatively quiet, Region 9289 has potential for
an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet levels through day two. Unsettled
conditions are likely by day three as a coronal hole moves into a
geoeffectively favorable position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jan a 03 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Dec 170 Previsto 01 Jan-03 Jan 170/165/165 Media de 90 Días 31 Dec 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Dec 004/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Dec 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jan-03 Jan 005/010-005/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jan a 03 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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