Viendo archivo del martes, 2 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 002 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was low. The most interesting events of
the last 24 hours were two long-duration C-class x-ray flares -- a
C7 at 02/0811 UTC and a C6 at 02/1807 UTC. Neither flare seemed to
be associated with activity on the visible disk. SOHO images suggest
that the source may be behind the northeast limb although this is a
preliminary analysis and not a certainty. New Regions 9295 (S12E73)
and 9296 (N10E76) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. The most likely source of activity on the disk remains
Region 9289 (S07W10). Activity levels may increase if the source of
today's long-duration flares is in fact beyond the northeast limb
and soon to rotate onto the visible disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet, becoming unsettled to active by the end of the
forecast period due to a high-speed coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jan 176 Previsto 03 Jan-05 Jan 170/170/165 Media de 90 Días 02 Jan 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jan 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jan 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan 005/012-010/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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