Viendo archivo del martes, 16 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 016 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9306 (N11W53) produced
a C2/Sf X-ray event at 16/0611Z. Otherwise, only a few minor
optically uncorrelated events occurred. While Region 9306 is now
classified as an Fki beta-gamma sunpot group, an overall decrease in
white light area and the number of spots was observed since
yesterday. New Region 9312 (N08E60) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominately low. Region 9306 continues to have the capability to
produce an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Jan a 19 Jan
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Jan 162 Previsto 17 Jan-19 Jan 160/155/150 Media de 90 Días 16 Jan 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Jan 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Jan 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Jan-19 Jan 008/010-005/010-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Jan a 19 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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