Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 febrero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 052 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Feb 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was low. Several C-class X-ray events
occurred with the highest being a C6/Sf produced by Region 9354
(S08W32) at 21/1427Z. Region 9354 has stayed about the same in size
and number of spots but has increased in magnetic complexity since
yesterday. New Region 9360 (S11E58) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
However, the is a chance for an isolated M-class event from either
Region 9354 or Region 9359 (N10E64).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. A non-Earth directed
CME occurred yesterday behind the NE limb.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| Clase M | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Feb 144 Previsto 22 Feb-24 Feb 150/150/150 Media de 90 Días 21 Feb 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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