Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 marzo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 22 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 081 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Mar 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate. Three optically uncorrelated M1 flares occurred during the period, at 22/0515, 0821, and 1319 UTC respectively. The M1 flare at 0821 UTC had an associated Type II radio sweep. Active Region 9373 (S05W92) had mostly rotated over the western limb by the end of the period. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions. The ACE spacecraft recorded a shock at the L1 point at 22/1250 UTC. This event initiated a 12 nT sudden impulse as recorded by the Boulder station. Minor storming was reported at mid-latitudes during the period of 22/1500-1800 UTC. Activity then returned to unsettled conditions for the remainder of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Effects from a high speed coronal stream may be expected during the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Mar a 25 Mar
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Mar 183
  Previsto   23 Mar-25 Mar  180/180/180
  Media de 90 Días        22 Mar 158
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Mar  007/019
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Mar  015/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar  015/015-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Mar a 25 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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