Viendo archivo del sábado, 21 abril 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Apr 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 111 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Apr 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been low. The largest flare was a
C8 x-ray burst that occurred at 20/2134 UTC. No optical flare
reports were received but space-based images identify Region 9433
(N16E40) as the source. Regions 9436 (S11E72) and 9437 (N08E76)
were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. Region 9433 is expected to be the source of most activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Apr a 24 Apr
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Apr 191 Previsto 22 Apr-24 Apr 200/210/220 Media de 90 Días 21 Apr 165
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Apr 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Apr 010/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Apr-24 Apr 005/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Apr a 24 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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