Viendo archivo del martes, 8 mayo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 May 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 128 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 May 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9445 (N24W54), still the
most active spot group visible, produced a C9/1f flare at 0055 UTC,
the day's largest event. The region retains a modest degree of
magnetic complexity. The remainder of the disk and limbs were quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9445 retains the potential to produce a small
M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 10 MeV
proton event that began at 07/1915 UTC, reached a maximum of 30 pfu
at 08/0755 UTC. Those fluxes are now slowly declining to more normal
levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 May a 11 May
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 May 129 Previsto 09 May-11 May 125/120/115 Media de 90 Días 08 May 168
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 May 011/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 May 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May 010/008-005/007-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 May a 11 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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