Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 mayo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 May 27 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 May 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. All disk regions have been relatively inactive. Region 9463 (N08W51), the largest sunspot group presently on the disk, and Region 9468 (N06W16) have decayed since yesterday. New Regions 9476 (S22W68), 9477 (S16E20), and 9478 (N14E15) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. An SI was observed at the Boulder ground magnetometer at 27/1456 UTC following a shock observed in the solar wind at ACE at 27/1418 UTC. Timing of the structure seems consistent with the M1/1N/Type II event which occurred on 24 May.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with an occasional active period during the passage of the CME. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the remainder of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 May a 30 May
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 May 147
  Previsto   28 May-30 May  140/140/135
  Media de 90 Días        27 May 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 May  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 May  012/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 May-30 May  010/012-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 May a 30 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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