Viendo archivo del domingo, 3 junio 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. The largest event was a C2/Sf from Region 9484 (S06E08) at 03/2011 UTC. This region continues to maintain some magnetic complexity and slowly increase in size and spot count, currently in a Dai/beta-gamma configuration. Other regions that exhibited activity today include 9486 (N28W22), and newly numbered 9488 (S18E61). Region 9488 was split from Region 9485 (S23E46) based on a better view of the region as it rotates onto the visible disk, and is presently the second largest region after 9487 (N19E60), which also grew in size and spot count today, but produced no activity of note.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be predominantly low for the period, but with a chance for isolated moderate flare activity possible for the developing regions noted in Section 1A above.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet to unsettled, with one active period observed at higher latitudes during 03/1500-1800 UTC. Coronal hole high speed stream effects have exhibited a weakening trend throughout the day, but remain in progress.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
Clase M30%35%35%
Clase X01%05%05%
Protón01%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Jun 145
  Previsto   04 Jun-06 Jun  150/155/155
  Media de 90 Días        03 Jun 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun  018/021
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Jun  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun  008/008-008/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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