Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Overall, solar
activity has increased since the previous period, as several regions
produced C-class events and optical sub-flares. The largest event
was an optically uncorrelated C7 at 08/2324 UTC. Region 9494
(S08W44) has shown rapid growth over the last 24 hours and is
currently a 21 spot Dao group with a beta-gamma magnetic
classification. There are currently eleven spot groups on the disk.
Region 9496 (N09W36) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
mostly low. Region 9496 is capable of producing isolated M-class
events.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to mostly unsettled conditions
with isolated active period occurring at 09/0600-0900 and 1800-2100
UTC. The increased geomagnetic activity appears to be the result of
interaction with a high-speed coronal hole stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are
possible on the first day of the period due to a coronal hole
stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jun a 12 Jun
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jun 177 Previsto 10 Jun-12 Jun 180/185/185 Media de 90 Días 09 Jun 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jun 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jun 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun 010/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jun a 12 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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