Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 junio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jun 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity reached high levels. Newly numbered
Region 9502 (S26E58) produced an M7/1n flare and CME at 13/1142Z. An
M2/Sf flare was also observed earlier in the period from this
region. Limb proximity still inhibits a thorough analysis, but the
region appears to be a relatively small, moderately complex
beta-gamma spot group. Region 9489 (N20W55) produced a number of
C-class flares including a C3 with Type II sweep (450 km/s) at
13/0827Z, a C9/Sf with Type II (680 km/s) at 13/1628Z, and an
impulsive C7/Sf at 13/1957Z. New Regions 9503 (N13E68), and 9504
(N06E76) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. M-class flares are possible from Regions 9502 and 9589.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Occasional active periods
were observed during local nighttime hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at mostly quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated
active period are again likely at higher latitudes during local
nighttime hours.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jun 181 Previsto 14 Jun-16 Jun 170/170/165 Media de 90 Días 13 Jun 170
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jun 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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